Illusion of Knowledge

Illusion of knowledge: Barber and Odean (2001) presents a discussion of the literature on the tendency to make a stronger inference than warranted by the data, which they call “Illusion of Knowledge.”’
Taleb (2004)

‘Overoptimism and overconfidence tend to stem from the illusion of control and the illusion of knowledge.’ (Montier 2007, p. 20)

‘The illusion of knowledge is the tendency for people to believe that the accuracy of their forecasts increases with more information.’ (Montier 2007, p. 20)

Articles via Google Scholar


Articles published since 2000| 2001| 2002| 2003| 2004| 2005| 2006| 2007| 2008| 2009| 2010| 2011| 2012